McCain is too old and Palin is a liability. McCain being old doesn't really mean much, but it will be held against him and it's becoming more and more of a visible problem. I do like him, but I kind of think running may have been a mistake (although I do concede he's probably the best options for the Republicans). It's really too bad Bush took him in the 2000 primaries.
I have noticed a couple things in the last couple days though:
-The Republicans have a much more well defined general platform than the Democrats. I personally wouldn't find it appealing, but it's not entirely a bad call on their part. A lot of people talk about how the party got hijacked blah blah blah, but really, I think it was just a strategy to try to guarantee strong support from certain segments by supporting the issues that don't really have as statistical fail/success rate and as such can't be held against them by that segment in the next round. The bad thing for them is that doing so isolates a lot of voters, but I guess in the end a lot of the swing votes up for grabs are more based on localized and time based issues rather than issues such as abortion. I know that if I was given the choice between one guy who is opposed to abortion but has a solid foreign trade policy which would be beneficial to my industry on the table and a guy who is pro-choice but doesn't have a portfolio I agree with on the little issues, I'd take the first guy hands down because the chances of abortion being outlawed by the executive in the current political environment are slim to none. I imagine most swing voters are probably the same...that's why they're swing voters.
-The Democrats on the other hand play the typical role of a major party - don't do anything to isolate or scare off any votes. It's hard to gain support but easy to piss people off, so you're best off saying as little as possible and hoping the other guy fucks up. This is generally how major parties roll and it's a pretty good strategy. The interesting thing is how only one party is doing it here so you have the Republicans kind of trying to lock down any stray sheep through (arguably) strong arm tactics, while you have the Democrats hooping and hollering about HOPE and CHANGE without actually saying anything about HOW or TO WHAT. It's pretty obvious that Republicans are still going to vote Republican while Democrats and college students pumped to vote for the first time and not really catching on are going to vote Democrat but the rest is kind of up in the air. If anything, I'd say Obama has a much better chance because he looks better on television and people who vote are dumb like that.
-I have a theory that whoever the internet loves loses. Especially Digg. As such, McCain is totally going to win. Or Obama might win if he does something and Digg starts hating him. Who knows?
-American Auto is dead. Get your money out now. I envision bankruptcy protection within 5 years and then a possible total collapse in the next 10-15 unless the whole new European business model pans out a lot better than expected. No, this doesn't really have an effect on anything but it probably matters a lot more to American than the actual election.